Money Control Place
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Stocks
  • Investing
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Stocks
  • Investing

Money Control Place

Stocks

Is the Correction Over? Or Are We Still Looking at a Bear Market?

by admin March 27, 2025
March 27, 2025
Is the Correction Over?  Or Are We Still Looking at a Bear Market?

The S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and Russell 2000 fell 10.5%, 13.8%, and 19.5%, respectively, from their recent all-time highs down to their March lows. Each index paused long enough and deep enough for a correction, with the Russell 2000 nearly reaching cyclical bear market territory (-20%).

At this point, there’s key price resistance on the S&P 500. Moving through it doesn’t necessarily mean we’re “in the clear.” However, failure to move through and then rolling back over increases the odds of another test of recent low price support. Check out the range I’m watching on the S&P 500:

Key price resistance, in my view, is at 5782 on the S&P 500. That was the gap support from early November and also the price support from mid-January. Now we’re trying to break above that resistance, while at the same time trying to hang onto now-rising 20-day EMA support.

As for support, the April and August lows in 2024 intersect beautifully with the March 2025 low. That’s something to keep an eye on if we begin to head lower again. The price support on the S&P 500 is now just above 5500, so a close beneath that level would be damaging – at least in the very near-term. I say that, because any new closing low would be accompanied by a higher PPO, a positive divergence. Many times, a reversing candle and a positive divergence will mark a significant bottom. So there’ll be plenty to watch over the next few days to few weeks.

I also want to show you how the S&P 500 is performing on a short-term chart vs. the NASDAQ 100, which is the more aggressive index:

It’s just a little thing, but the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 had been trading mostly in unison over the past week or two, but with this morning’s weakness, note that the NASDAQ 100 has moved back down to Monday’s opening gap higher, while the S&P 500 still remains well above it. Here’s one reason for it:

Since the Fed announcement one week ago, discretionary stocks (XLY) had reversed its downtrend vs. staples stocks (XLP). But check out today’s action! Maybe this is just short-term and we’ll see a reversal later, but it’s hard to be overly encouraged when staples goes up 1.14%, while discretionary drops 0.64%.

It’s a warning sign.

I know there are TONS of mixed signals out there and everyone wants to know whether this recovery is the REAL DEAL or if it was only temporary before the next shoe drops. Well, if you’re interested, I’ll be hosting a FREE event on Saturday.

Correction or Bear Market?

That’s the topic of our Saturday event, which will begin promptly at 10am ET. I will be providing multiple angles/charts/strategies and what each of them are telling us. If you’d like to join me on Saturday and would like more information, REGISTER NOW.

Even if you have a prior commitment on Saturday, we plan to record the event and send out the recording to all who register. So act now to attend and/or receive your copy of the recording.

Happy trading!

Tom

0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
Three Growth Stocks Testing the Ultimate Trend Barometer
next post
Oil executives bluntly criticize Trump tariffs and ‘drill, baby, drill’ mantra

Related Posts

How High Will U.S. Yields Fly?

August 19, 2023

Looks Like a Strong Rotation to The Leading...

September 12, 2023

10% Downside Risk For Stocks as Value Takes...

April 25, 2024

Three Ways to Stay on the Right Side...

November 16, 2023

The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

February 24, 2024

Stock Market Momentum Slows Down: What This Means...

March 26, 2025

S&P 500 & Nasdaq Composite Approach Critical Resistance;...

April 27, 2024

A Nasdaq 100 Stock Showing Relative Strength in...

August 19, 2023

Sector Rotation Warning: More Downside Ahead for US...

March 8, 2025

Soybeans Could be the Next Parabolic Runner

November 16, 2023

    Get free access to all of the retirement secrets and income strategies from our experts! or Join The Exclusive Subscription Today And Get the Premium Articles Acess for Free


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Latest

    • Confused by the Market? Let the Traffic Light Indicator Guide You

    • Which Will Hit First: SPX 6100 or SPX 5100?

    • Investment Portfolio Feeling Stagnant? Transform Your Path Today

    • Where the Market Goes Next: Key Resistance Levels + Top Bullish Stocks to Watch Now

    • Recession Ahead? Sector Rotation Model Warns of Rising Risk

    • Crypto Market Recap: Bitcoin Breaks US$100,000 as ETF Inflows Rise, Coinbase Makes US$2.9 Billion Power Play

    Categories

    • Business (1,183)
    • Investing (2,412)
    • Politics (3,699)
    • Stocks (1,558)
    • Uncategorized (20)
    • About us
    • Contact us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: MoneyControlPlace.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 moneycontrolplace.com | All Rights Reserved