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Mega-Caps Weakening, More Trouble Ahead

by admin February 22, 2025
February 22, 2025
Mega-Caps Weakening, More Trouble Ahead

The market declined heavily on Friday likely setting up for more downside ahead. We had already begun to notice that mega-cap stocks were beginning to weaken. You can see this on the relative strength line of the SPY versus equal-weight RSP. The relative strength line has been in decline. You’ll notice that when the mega-caps underperform, the market tends to as well.

A look at the Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) has been showing a declining trend all year long. We have flat bottoms and a declining tops trendline and that forms a bearish descending triangle. Not only is the chart pattern unfavorable, but so are the indicators. The RSI is now in negative territory and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) has topped beneath its signal line. Stochastics also look terrible as they decline in negative territory below net neutral (50). Relative strength against the SPY is also in decline.

Conclusion: The market is already in decline and it doesn’t appear there will be any help by the mega-caps, particularly the Magnificent Seven which are in decline overall based on MAGS ETF. The market struggles when these big guys don’t perform so we have downside pressure to add to an already weak looking SPY.


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Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

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Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)

ITBM and ITVM

SCTR Ranking

Bear Market Rules


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